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Assessing wildfire risk in real time on the 2017 Frye Fire

Informally Refereed

Abstract

The Frye Fire started June 7, 2017, in the Pinaleño Mountains of southeast Arizona. The Pinaleños are host to important resources and assets including Mount Graham International Observatory, recreation residences, a church camp, Forest Service infrastructure, spiritual significance to tribes, and 11 endemic fish and wildlife species. This assessment was stimulated by the need to make sense of the numerous resources and assets within the planning area of the Frye Fire in order to enable quality dialog between the Coronado National Forest and the Incident Management Team. The assessment was created to help guide the management of the fire to best meet the desires of the local unit and stakeholders. Highly valued resources and assets (HVRAs) in the fire’s planning area were identified and prioritized. The response function to fire for each individual HVRA was identified as positive, neutral, or negative by flame-length class by local staff. The net value change was then calculated to discern the probable effects to an area if it were to burn and isolate which HVRA was driving that response. This assessment allowed us to verify the incident strategies, develop tactics, prioritize actions on the ground, and align the strategy and tactics by providing pertinent information to ground resources.

Parent Publication

Keywords

risk assessment, fire management, Frye Fire, incident strategies, incident tactics, intent-based planning

Citation

Hollingsworth, LaWen T.; Panunto, Matthew. 2020. Assessing wildfire risk in real time on the 2017 Frye Fire. In: Hood, Sharon M.; Drury, Stacy; Steelman, Toddi; Steffens, Ron, [eds.]. Proceedings of the Fire Continuum-Preparing for the future of wildland fire; 2018 May 21-24; Missoula, MT. Proceedings RMRS-P-78. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 118-130.
https://www.fs.usda.gov/research/treesearch/62330