SUMMARY TERRA-1 TERRA-2 TERRA-3 TERRA-4 TERRA-5 SOCIO-1 SOCIO-2 SOCIO-3 SOCIO-4 SOCIO-5 SOCIO-6 SOCIO-7 TIMBR-1 TIMBR-2 TIMBR-3 HLTH-1 HLTH-2 HLTH-3 AQUA-1 AQUA-2 AQUA-3 AQUA-4 AQUA-5 HISTORY FIRE PDF (2.7M)

TIMBR-1: Timber Products Supply and Demand

1 Key Findings

2 Introduction

3 Methods

4 Data Sources

5 Results

5.1 History and Current Status of Timber and Timber Product Supply and Demand

5.2 Projections of Timber and Timber Product Supply and Demand

6 Discussion and Conclusions

7 Needs for Additional Research

8 Acknowledgments

9 Literature Cited

10 Tables and Figures

Table 1--Subregional Timber Supply Model (SRTS) assumptions

Table 2--Direction of trade among major timber products trading countries

Figure 1--Schematic of the Subregional Timber Supply (SRTS) model

Figure 2--Total U.S. harvests, National Forest harvests, and U.S. real gross domestic product, 1950-1998

Figure 3--National Forest harvests by geographical region

Figure 4--U.S. fiber consumption, by source, 1965-1998

Figure 5--Industrial wood productivity in the U.S. 1900-1998

Figure 6--Shares of timber harvest volumes, by Region of the U.S. 1952-1997

Figure 7--Timber harvest revenues by Region of the U.S. 1952-1997

Figure 8--Tree planting in the South by major owner group, 1945-1999

Figure 9--Southern pulpwood production 1953-1998 by product class, and LA southern pine and hardwood pulpwood stumpage prices

Figure 10--Chip mills in the U.S. South

Figure 11--Other wood-using mills in the U.S.

Figure 12--Sawmills in the U.S. South

Figure 13--Figure 13--Southern wood residue production (1953-1999) and wood chip exports

Figure 14--Removals by destination product 1952-1996

Figure 15--SRTS Model projections of timberland area under the Base Case

Figure 16--SRTS Model projections by FIA Survey Unit of percent change in timberland area

Figure 17--SRTS Model projections of timberland area by management type under the IL assumptions

Figure 18--SRTS Model projections of timberland area by management type under the EH assumptions

Figure 19--SRTS Model projections of timberland area by management type under the EL assumptions

Figure 20--Pine plantation area projections by scenario, and historical pine plantation area 1952-2040

Figure 21--Pine plantation area by state for 1995, 2020, and 2040, as projected under the Base Case scenario

Figure 22--Pine plantation area by ecoregion, 1995, 2020, and 2040

Figure 23--Natural forest management type area by state for 1995, 2020, and 2040, as projected under the Base Case scenario

Figure 24--SRTS Model projections of softwood timber growth and removals 1995-2040 under the Base Case assumptions

Figure 25--SRTS Model projections of softwood timber growth and removals volumes under the IL assumptions

Figure 26--SRTS Model projections of softwood timber growth and removals volumes under the EH assumptions

Figure 27--SRTS Model projections of softwood timber growth and removals volumes under the EL assumptions

Figure 28--Percentage (A) and absolute (B) changes in annual softwood harvest levels, 1995-2040 by FIA Survey

Figure 29--SRTS Model projections of hardwood timber growth and removals volumes under the IH (Base Case) scenario

Figure 30--SRTS Model projections of hardwood timber growth and removals volumes under the IL scenario

Figure 31--SRTS Model projections of hardwood timber growth and removals volumes under the EH scenario

Figure 32--SRTS Model projections of hardwood timber growth and removals volumes under the EL scenario

Figure 33--Percentage (A) and absolute (B) changes in annual hardwood harvest levels, 1995-2040, by FIA Survey Unit under IH (Base Case) assumptions

Figure 34--SRTS Model projections of total timber growth and removals volumes (bcf), by owner under the Base Case scenario

Figure 35--SRTS Model projections of total timber growth and removals volumes (bcf), by owner under the IL scenario

Figure 36--SRTS Model projections of total timber growth and removals volumes (bcf), by owner under the EH scenario

Figure 37--SRTS Model projections of total timber growth and removals volumes (bcf), by owner under the EL scenario

Figure 38--SRTS projections of softwood age structure by age class under the Base Case scenario

Figure 39--SRTS projections of hardwood age structure under the Base Case scenario

Figure 40--SRTS projections of Alabama softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 41--SRTS projections of Arkansas softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 42--SRTS projections of Florida softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 43--SRTS projections of Georgia softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 44--SRTS projections of Kentucky softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 45--SRTS projections of Louisiana softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 46--SRTS projections of Mississippi softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 47--SRTS projections of North Carolina softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 48--SRTS projections of Oklahoma softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 49--SRTS projections of South Carolina softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 50--SRTS projections of Tennessee softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 51--SRTS projections of Texas softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 52--SRTS projections of Virginia softwood and hardwood growth and removals volumes

Figure 53--SRTS Model projections of softwood timber prices, 1995-2039

Figure 54--SRTS Model projections of hardwood timber prices, 1995-2039