A Model of Deforestation under Heterogeneous Ownership
Investigators:
Jeffrey P. Prestemon,
Southern Research Station
Description:
Current models of deforestation in tropical countries have been either static or oriented toward homogeneous ownership mixes. These models ignore the implications of a mix of public and private ownership of forests and the incomplete control of public lands by government. A theoretical and an empirical model was developed that can explain the short- and long-run effects of government polices and prices on the amount of timber supplied and forest area under heterogeneous ownership. The theoretical model is used to demonstrate the ambiguous effects of price changes on forest area and timber supply in the aggregate. An empirical model is applied to the case of Mexico with the advent of freer trade under NAFTA, and predictions are made regarding the Agreement's effects on different ownership in the long-run.
Problem Area(s):
Tropical forestry,
Public programs
Status:
Ongoing
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modified:
13-MAR-2000
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USDA FS SRS
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